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Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Islanders NHL game on December 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
1
2
Dec 3, 12AM UBS Arena
Islanders
Dec 3, 12AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0011
Islanders
0112
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0011
Islanders
0112
P3 18:42 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 18:37 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:29 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:43 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 16:28 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 16:25 Dominic James shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 16:23 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 16:09 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P3 15:58 Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:45 Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 10:17 Shot missed by Anders Lee
P3 09:20 Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 09:11 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 08:37 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 07:46 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 19:06
Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 18:42
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 18:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:29
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 17:14
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 17:14
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 16:26
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P3 16:25
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 16:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P3 16:09
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P3 15:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 13:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:38
Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 12:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 10:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P3 09:20
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 09:11
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 08:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 07:54
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 07:54
Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 07:46
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 07:43
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P3 07:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:40
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
P3 07:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 07:28
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Anders Lee
P3 07:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:44
Maxim Tsyplakov credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 06:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P3 06:38
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 06:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 06:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:30
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 05:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P3 05:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Duclair assisted by Calum Ritchie and Tony DeAngelo
0-2
P3 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:15
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 04:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:39
Nick Paul credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 03:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:01
SHOT
Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 01:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 01:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:03
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 00:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 00:12
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 00:12
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P2 18:15
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 18:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:13
SHOT
Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P2 18:09
SHOT
Power play - Max Shabanov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 17:39
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 17:39
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 17:16
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 17:16
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 16:59
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 15:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P2 15:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Maxim Tsyplakov
P2 14:44
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P2 14:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 14:37
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 14:37
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 13:50
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
P2 13:50
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:01
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 13:01
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 12:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 12:14
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P2 12:02
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P2 11:38
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 11:38
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 10:47
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 10:47
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:38
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 10:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:54
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 09:54
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 09:52
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 09:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:09
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P2 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 07:55
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
P2 07:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:49
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 06:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 06:32
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 06:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:53
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P2 05:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 04:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 03:49
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 03:49
Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 02:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P2 02:29
SHOT
Curtis Douglas shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 02:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 02:01
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 01:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:55
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 00:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 00:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:40
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 00:24
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 00:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P1 19:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 19:20
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 19:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 19:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P1 17:31
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 17:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:08
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 16:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P1 15:45
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P1 15:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P1 13:39
Power play - Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P1 12:53
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 12:53
Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for High Sticking
P1 12:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 11:39
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 11:39
Stoppage - Offside
P1 11:26
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:23
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 11:13
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 11:13
Stoppage - Offside
P1 11:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 11:01
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P1 11:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:50
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
P1 10:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:47
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 10:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Shabanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:52
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P1 08:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P1 08:30
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P1 08:30
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P1 07:19
Power play - Emil Heineman won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P1 07:19
Stoppage - Offside
P1 06:14
Power play - Anders Lee won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 06:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:30
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 05:30
Penalty to Nick Paul 2 minutes for Holding
P1 05:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P1 04:46
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 02:10
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P1 02:10
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:59
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 01:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:43
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 01:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 01:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 00:59
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P1 00:46
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
P1 00:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P1 00:25
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
 STATS
Islanders
30Shots on Goal23
52%Faceoff Win %48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits18
7Shots Blocked19
13Giveaways17
LightningTB
IslandersNYI
30Shots on Goal23
52%Faceoff Win %48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits18
7Shots Blocked19
13Giveaways17

Game Prediction Article

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Lightning vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Islanders
  • Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -120, Islanders +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 55%
  • Islanders: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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