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Lightning vs. Red Wings prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [10/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings predictions for NHL Friday.
The Detroit Red Wings and Tampa Bay Lightning are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Friday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Red Wings predictions page.
Lightning vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 57% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 52% chance of going over.
Lightning vs. Red Wings odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+180) | +1.5 (-218) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +112 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Lightning vs. Red Wings picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Red Wings matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Lightning vs. Red Wings player props
Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give Point a 10.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the Lightning star is a 47.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 10.4% |
| Jake Guentzel | 9.7% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.3% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 6.7% |
| Dylan Larkin | 6.4% |
| Patrick Kane | 4.3% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 47.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 45.0% |
| Brandon Hagel | 32.4% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 34.3% |
| Dylan Larkin | 33.9% |
| Patrick Kane | 24.9% |
Lightning vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Red Wings and Lightning at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Dimers' in-depth preview of Friday's Lightning vs. Red Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Lightning vs. Red Wings picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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