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Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL game on October 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Oct 17, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
Oct 17, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
OT1 03:35 Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
OT1 03:28 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by J.T. Compher
OT1 01:36 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by John Gibson
OT1 00:55 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by John Gibson
OT1 00:47 Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:45 Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:21 Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P3 19:41 Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:27 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emmitt Finnie
P3 18:46 Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P3 18:02 Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:47 Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:49 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 16:49 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by John Gibson
P3 16:41 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P3 16:37 Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 16:25 Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
P3 16:15 Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Victor Hedman and Conor Geekie
P3 16:03 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Lightning won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by J.T. Compher
Giveaway by Patrick Kane in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Jack Finley won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
Jack Finley won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Victor Hedman and Conor Geekie
1-1
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
Jack Finley won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by John Gibson
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Finley saved by John Gibson
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Marco Kasper in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marco Kasper
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Jack Finley shot blocked by Marco Kasper
Albert Johansson credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Compher
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Conor Geekie 2 minutes for Delay of Game
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged by Goaltender
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Michael Brandsegg-Nygård in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Moritz Seider)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Power play - Conor Geekie won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Penalty to Michael Brandsegg-Nygård 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Brayden Point)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Moritz Seider
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Jack Finley won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jack Finley won faceoff against Mason Appleton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
Jack Finley won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
SHOT
Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by John Gibson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by John Gibson
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by John Gibson
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Conor Geekie
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by teammate
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Penalty to Axel Sandin-Pellikka 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Brayden Point won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Albert Johansson
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Jack Finley won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Mason Appleton in offensive zone
Moritz Seider credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Conor Geekie shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by John Gibson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Mitchell Chaffee
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
Brayden Point won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by John Gibson
Jack Finley won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Moritz Seider
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Emmitt Finnie
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Albert Johansson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Mason Appleton shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Marco Kasper in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 32 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 32 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Lightning vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Red Wings
- Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -130, Red Wings +112
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 57%
- Red Wings: 43%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 57%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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