St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/13/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get St Louis City vs Los Angeles FC predictions for MLS Wednesday.

St Louis City-Los Angeles FC Predictions and Game Preview.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC MLS prediction for Wednesday, May 13, 2026.

St Louis City will face LAFC in MLS action at CITYPARK on Wednesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner of the St Louis City vs. LAFC game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between St Louis City and LAFC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 35.8% chance of St Louis City winning, a 38.9% chance for LAFC, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

St Louis City LAFC Draw
+170 +140 +260

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-160 +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline St Louis City +170
Total Goals Under 2.5 +110

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
STL 1-1 LAF 11.9%
STL 0-1 LAF 8.7%
STL 1-2 LAF 8.5%

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between St Louis City and LAFC in MLS at CITYPARK is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, St Louis City has a 35.8% win probability on Wednesday, LAFC has a 38.9% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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