LAFC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LAFC vs. St Louis City MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
LAFC
1
2
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
T. Totland (4')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Santos (64')
Soccer ball icon
D. Martinez (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LAFC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Cordova
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces R. Raposo
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    R. Raposo (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: N. Ordaz replaces T. Tillman
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Shaffelburg replaces E. Segura
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: S. Eustaquio replaces M. Choiniere
  7. 76'
    Yellow Card
    S. Becher (St. Louis City) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by D. Martinez, assisted by Nkosi Tafari
    1-2
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: D. Martinez replaces T. Boyd
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    A. Long (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces E. Lowen
  12. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Santos
    0-2
  13. 60'
    Yellow Card
    D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
  14. 58'
    Yellow Card
    E. Segura (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  15. 49'
    Yellow Card
    T. Totland (St. Louis City) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces S. Jeong
  17. 10'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: Rafael Santos replaces J. Orozco
  18. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Totland, assisted by E. Lowen
    0-1

LAFC vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +145, St Louis City +180, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LAFC: 39.8%
  • St Louis City: 35.1%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LAFC 1-1 St Louis City (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win LAFC vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

LAFC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.8%.

The most likely correct score is LAFC 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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