New England Revolution vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/28/2026]

New England will face NY Red Bulls in the MLS Cup first round at Gillette Stadium on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects New England as the most likely winner in this New England vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

New England Revolution vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between New England and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 53.3% chance of New England winning, a 25.0% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 64.0% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +257, New England +100
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-233/+223)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: New England @ +100 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +223 via Polymarket

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 New England win being the most probable:

• New England 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6% probability)
• New England 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6%)
• New England 1-0 NY Red Bulls (7.4%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between New England and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New England Revolution vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, New England has a 53.3% win probability on Wednesday, NY Red Bulls have a 25.0% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.