Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/28/2026]

Charlotte and Montreal are scheduled to meet in the MLS Cup first round at Bank of America Stadium on Wednesday, with kickoff at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Charlotte as the most likely winner in this Charlotte vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Charlotte and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 67.9% chance of Charlotte winning, a 14.3% chance for Montreal, and a 17.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +450, Charlotte -170
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-223/+212)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Charlotte @ -170 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +212 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Charlotte to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Charlotte win being the most probable:

• Charlotte 2-0 Montreal (9.6% probability)
• Charlotte 2-1 Montreal (9.6%)
• Charlotte 1-1 Montreal (8.1%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS action between Charlotte and Montreal in MLS at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Charlotte has a 67.9% win probability on Wednesday, Montreal has a 14.3% win probability, and there is a 17.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.