May 23, 2026
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Read Article St Louis City vs. Austin FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St Louis City vs Austin FC predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 2:45 PM ET as Austin locks horns with St Louis City at CITYPARK.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts St Louis City as the most likely winner of the St Louis City vs. Austin game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
St Louis City vs. Austin FC prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between St Louis City and Austin, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 57.4% chance of St Louis City winning, a 20.5% chance for Austin, and a 22.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
St Louis City vs. Austin FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| St Louis City | Austin | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -145 | +360 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -190 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
St Louis City vs. Austin FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin | +360 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +130 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
St Louis City vs. Austin FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| STL 1-1 AUS | 10.4% |
| STL 2-1 AUS | 9.9% |
| STL 1-0 AUS | 9.8% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
St Louis City vs. Austin FC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between St Louis City and Austin in MLS at CITYPARK is scheduled to start at 2:45 PM ET.
- Who: St Louis City vs. Austin FC
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 2:45 PM ET/11:45AM PT
- Venue: CITYPARK
Conclusion
According to our computer model, St Louis City has a 57.4% win probability on Saturday, Austin has a 20.5% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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