Jun 19, 2026
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Read Article Newcastle Knights vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Knights favored to win Friday's NRL Round 16 matchup [6/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons predictions for NRL Friday.
The Newcastle Knights will take on the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, beginning at 6:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Knights as the most likely winner of the Dragons vs. Knights game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Knights vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 16 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Dragons and Knights, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Knights a 79.1% chance of defeating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Knights (-11.5) have a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 54.8% chance of staying under,.
St George vs. Knights odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dragons | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +290 | -417 |
| Line (Spread) | +11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-120) |
| Total | o49.5 (-120) | u49.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dragons vs. Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Knights -11.5 | bet_rivers_in-120 |
| Moneyline | Knights | bet_rivers_in-417 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -108 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 49.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knights vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league action between the Knights and Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00 AM ET.
- Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights
- Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
- Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
- Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Knights, with a 79.1% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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