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Read Article South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Rabbitohs favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 15 matchup [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for NRL Thursday.
NRL action continues on Thursday at 5:50 AM ET as the Brisbane Broncos square off with the South Sydney Rabbitohs at Stadium Australia.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Rabbitohs as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win Round 15 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NRL game between the Broncos and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rabbitohs a 68.0% chance of defeating the Broncos.
According to our model, the Rabbitohs (-6.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 50.2% chance of staying under.
Broncos vs. Souths odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +155 | -200 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-120) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Total | o49.5 (-118) | u49.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rabbitohs -6.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Rabbitohs | bet_rivers_in-200 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -108 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rabbitohs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Australian rugby league game between the Rabbitohs and Broncos at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 5:50 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 5:50 AM ET/2:50AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Rabbitohs, with a 68.0% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Thursday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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