Jun 3, 2026
Manly Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs prediction: Why Sea Eagles are favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 14 matchup [6/4/2026]
Read Article Melbourne Storm vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 14 matchup [6/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Friday.
NRL action continues on Friday at 4:00 AM ET as the Newcastle Knights square off with the Melbourne Storm at AAMI Park.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Storm game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Storm vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Storm, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Storm a 69% chance of beating the Knights.
According to our model, the Storm (-3.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +123 | -156 |
| Line (Spread) | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-120) |
| Total | o49.5 (-115) | u49.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -3.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in-156 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Storm and Knights at AAMI Park is scheduled to commence at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Venue: AAMI Park
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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