South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Knights favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 19 matchup [7/12/2026]
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Sunday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs and Newcastle Knights will lock horns in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Stadium Australia on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Knights as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 19 game?
Our independent predictive model gives the Knights a 54.3% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.
According to our model, the Knights (-1.5) have a 50.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 51.5% chance of staying under,.
Knights vs. Souths odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -137 | +107 |
| Line (Spread) | -1.5 (-120) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Total | o48.5 (-114) | u48.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rabbitohs +1.5 | bet_rivers_in-110 |
| Moneyline | Rabbitohs | bet_rivers_in+107 |
| Total | Under 48.5 | -112 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league action between the Rabbitohs and Knights at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Knights, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
