Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET as Southern Miss takes on Texas State in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Texas State as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Texas State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Southern Miss and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Texas State a 56% chance of beating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 72-71.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Southern Miss and Texas State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: