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USF vs. Wichita State prediction: Why South Florida is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get USF vs Wichita State predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Wichita State will take on USF, in what is expected to be a tight men's college basketball game, at Charles Koch Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives South Florida a slight edge with a 51% win probability over Wichita State.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's USF vs. Wichita State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
USF vs. Wichita State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between USF and Wichita State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives South Florida a 51% chance of defeating Wichita State. Our predicted score is South Florida 78-78 Wichita State.
According to our model, Wichita State (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 160.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 78-78 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of South Florida vs. Wichita State.
USF vs. Wichita State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | USF | Wichita State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -128 | +114 |
| Total | o160.5 (-112) | u160.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
USF vs. Wichita State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wichita State +1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wichita State | +114 |
| Total | Under 160.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wichita State +1.5 at the spread.
USF vs. Wichita State game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Wichita State and USF at Charles Koch Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: South Florida vs. Wichita State
- Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Charles Koch Arena
Conclusion
We predict South Florida, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Wichita State on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Florida vs. Wichita State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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