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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get South Alabama vs Arkansas State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Arkansas State and South Alabama will meet in men's college basketball action at First National Bank Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the South Alabama vs. Arkansas State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between South Alabama and Arkansas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Arkansas State a 77% chance of beating South Alabama. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 80-72.
According to our model, Arkansas State (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 149.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | South Alabama | Arkansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +320 | -400 |
| Total | o149.5 (-110) | u149.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -8.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | South Alabama | +320 |
| Total | Over 149.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State -8.5 at the spread.
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Arkansas State and South Alabama at First National Bank Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: First National Bank Arena
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas State, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat South Alabama on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Alabama vs. Arkansas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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