Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/13/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions for MLS Wednesday.

Seattle Sounders-San Jose Earthquakes Predictions and Game Preview.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes MLS prediction for Wednesday, May 13, 2026.

Seattle and San Jose are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Lumen Field on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. San Jose game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Seattle and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 61.0% chance of Seattle winning, a 17.8% chance for San Jose, and a 21.2% chance of a draw.

 

Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Seattle San Jose Draw
Moneyline +120 +475 +375

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Seattle +120

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Seattle to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Seattle win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
SEA 1-0 SJE 10.3%
SEA 2-0 SJE 10.2%
SEA 2-1 SJE 10%

Seattle Sounders vs. San Jose Earthquakes game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between Seattle and San Jose in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 61.0% win probability on Wednesday, San Jose has a 17.8% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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