San Jose vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Seattle MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
2
3
Lumen Field
Seattle
Lumen Field
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
A. Rusnak (pen.) (43')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ferreira (55')
Soccer ball icon
O. De Rosario (89')
Soccer ball icon
N. Fernandez (2')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (69')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Seattle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by O. De Rosario, assisted by Nouhou
    2-3
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Arriola replaces P. Rothrock
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. De Rosario replaces A. Rusnak
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Kingston replaces K. Kossa-Rienzi
  5. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd
    2-2
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: J. Morris replaces D. Musovski
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: H. Dotson replaces S. Brunell
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces J. Skahan
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Leroux replaces N. Buck
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
  11. 58'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Ferreira
    1-2
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces P. Marie
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces N. Adimabua
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  16. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by A. Rusnak (pen.)
    1-1
  17. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by N. Fernandez, assisted by N. Adimabua
    1-0

San Jose vs. Seattle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Seattle
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +550, Seattle +120, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 17.8%
  • Seattle: 61.0%
  • Draw: 21.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 0-1 Seattle (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Jose vs. Seattle? Prediction & correct score

Seattle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 0-1 Seattle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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