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Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC predictions for MLS Saturday.
Seattle and San Diego FC are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Lumen Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. San Diego FC game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Seattle and San Diego FC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 60.3% chance of Seattle winning, an 18.2% chance for San Diego FC, and a 21.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Seattle | San Diego FC | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -145 | +360 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -185 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle | -145 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +130 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Seattle to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Seattle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEA 1-0 San Diego FC | 10.3% |
| SEA 2-0 San Diego FC | 10.2% |
| SEA 1-1 San Diego FC | 10.1% |
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Seattle and San Diego FC in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Seattle has a 60.3% win probability on Saturday, San Diego FC has an 18.2% win probability, and there is a 21.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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