San Diego State vs. Nevada prediction: San Diego State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/6/2026]

Nevada will face San Diego State, in what is expected to be a close Men's College Basketball game, at Lawlor Events Center on Tuesday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives San Diego State a slight edge with a 51% win probability over Nevada.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's San Diego State vs. Nevada matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

San Diego State vs. Nevada prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between San Diego State and Nevada 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives San Diego State a 51% chance of beating Nevada. Our predicted final score has San Diego State winning 71-70.

According to our model, San Diego State (+1.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 141.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

San Diego State vs. Nevada odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

San Diego State vs. Nevada picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Diego State to win.

San Diego State vs. Nevada game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Nevada and San Diego State at Lawlor Events Center is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Diego State vs. Nevada
• Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Lawlor Events Center

Conclusion

We predict San Diego State, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Nevada on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate San Diego State vs. Nevada insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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