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Spurs vs. Wizards prediction: Why San Antonio is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Washington Wizards and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action at Capital One Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Wizards game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature players like CJ McCollum, Alex Sarr and Kyshawn George, while the Spurs will look to De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Spurs an 86% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 125-111.
According to our model, the Wizards (+15.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Wizards odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -15.5 (-108) | +15.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -1200 | +800 |
| Total | o237.5 (-110) | u237.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Wizards picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +15.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +800 |
| Total | Under 237.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +15.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Wizards player props
Betting on Spurs vs. Wizards NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.
De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while CJ McCollum is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Wizards.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 41 |
| V. Wembanyama | 20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 47 |
| Stephon Castle | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 42 |
| Devin Vassell | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| Dylan Harper | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
Wizards prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| Alex Sarr | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Kyshawn George | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Khris Middleton | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Bub Carrington | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
Spurs vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Wizards and Spurs at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Sunday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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