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Spurs vs. Pelicans prediction: San Antonio favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [10/24/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Friday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and San Antonio Spurs will lock horns in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Jordan Poole, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 65% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 118-114.
According to our model, the Spurs (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-115) | +3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -172 | +145 |
| Total | o233.5 (-108) | u233.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -172 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -105 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Spurs moneyline.
Spurs vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's San Antonio vs. New Orleans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 28 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 27 | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| Stephon Castle | 19 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Devin Vassell | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Harrison Barnes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 28 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| Trey Murphy | 21 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Saddiq Bey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Spurs vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Pelicans and Spurs at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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