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Spurs vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why San Antonio is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Jaren Jackson, Santi Aldama and Cam Spencer, while the Spurs will rely on De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Spurs and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs a 67% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 120-115.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-118) | +5.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +200 |
| Total | o238.5 (-108) | u238.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +5.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +200 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +5.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the San Antonio vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 23 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 43 |
| V. Wembanyama | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 48 |
| Stephon Castle | 22 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 44 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| J. Champagnie | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 37 |
| Santi Aldama | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Cam Spencer | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
| Jaylen Wells | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
Spurs vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Grizzlies and Spurs at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Tuesday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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