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Spurs vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
105
106
Jan 7, 1AM FedExForum
Jan 7, 1AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 23 | 44 | 7 | 105 |
Grizzlies | 21 | 25 | 51 | 9 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
42%
58%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 23 | 44 | 7 | 105 |
Grizzlies | 21 | 25 | 51 | 9 | 106 |
Q4 00:05 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Cam Spencer makes two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:51 Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:38 De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
Q4 1:47 De'Aaron Fox blocks Jaylen Wells's two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan personal foul (Take) (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
+2
Cam Spencer makes two point stepback jump shot
105-106
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
105-106
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
105-106
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox blocks Jaylen Wells's two point jump shot
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point pullup jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
98-97
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
105-106
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
105-106
Jump ball. Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. Stephon Castle (Grizzlies gains possession)
Stephon Castle personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-106
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-106
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie)
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Julian Champagnie steals)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr., Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point running jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
98-97
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Cam Spencer steals)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
105-106
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Cam Spencer misses three point running pullup jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale personal foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
98-97
Javon Small misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
Dylan Harper turnover
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
91-97
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
105-106
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving layup
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
105-106
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Jock Landale makes three point jump shot
105-106
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
105-106
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-106
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-90
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Cam Spencer makes two point jump shot
98-97
De'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Vince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
86-90
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Christian Koloko assists)
81-88
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle personal foul
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
81-84
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-106
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
98-97
Grizzlies personal foul
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-106
Stephon Castle personal foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Vince Williams Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-106
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
72-71
Grizzlies personal foul
Jeremy Sochan offensive foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
Jeremy Sochan turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
Vince Williams Jr. turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-71
Grizzlies turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-106
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-106
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
Stephon Castle turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball) (Javon Small steals)
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-71
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-90
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Santi Aldama blocks Luke Kornet's two point putback layup
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
72-71
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
86-90
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-71
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-71
Santi Aldama personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Javon Small turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
70-70
Spurs personal foul
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
86-90
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-71
Santi Aldama turnover (bad pass) (Jordan McLaughlin steals)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
70-71
+2
Christian Koloko makes two point jump shot
70-70
+3
Jordan McLaughlin makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
61-61
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-61
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Victor Wembanyama defensive goaltending violation
Jock Landale offensive rebound
+2
Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
72-71
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
72-71
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (Jaylen Wells steals)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-61
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-71
Grizzlies violation
+2
Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
70-71
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-71
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Jock Landale misses two point tip layup
Jock Landale offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-61
Dylan Harper personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
Cam Spencer misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
60-61
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
61-61
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
72-71
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)
61-61
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-71
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses two point driving layup
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Christian Koloko steals)
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Santi Aldama misses heave shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
54-46
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point driving floating jump shot
54-46
+3
Santi Aldama makes three point jump shot
54-46
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
52-41
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
54-46
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs personal foul
Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells turnover
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Javon Small misses three point stepback jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
54-46
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot
54-46
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
52-41
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-41
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving layup
44-37
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Jock Landale blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving reverse layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point running jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
42-37
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-41
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Vince Williams Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
37-37
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-34
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-34
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
35-34
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-32
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
34-32
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
34-29
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-29
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
31-26
Spurs violation
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-24
Spurs 60 second timeout
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies turnover
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
31-21
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-21
Grizzlies turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cam Spencer makes technical free throw 1 of 1
26-21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
26-20
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
24-18
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
25-18
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
26-18
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
23-18
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
23-15
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Javon Small defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-15
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
20-13
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
17-13
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama misses two point tip layup
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
17-13
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-10
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
15-10
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
13-10
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-7
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-7
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-7
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
8-7
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-5
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-4
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-5
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
5-3
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
2-3
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-0
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Luke Kornet vs. Jaren Jackson Jr. (Cam Spencer gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Game Prediction Article
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Spurs vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 238
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -235, Grizzlies +205
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 68%
- Grizzlies: 32%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 121-116 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 68%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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