Spurs vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Spurs
105
106
FedExForum
Grizzlies
FedExForum
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 23 44 7 105
Grizzlies
21 25 51 9 106
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    42%
  • Grizzlies
    58%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 23 44 7 105
Grizzlies
21 25 51 9 106
Q4 00:05 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Cam Spencer makes two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:51 Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:38 De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
Q4 1:47 De'Aaron Fox blocks Jaylen Wells's two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:14
    Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:15
    Jeremy Sochan personal foul (Take) (Jock Landale draws the foul)
  6. Q4 00:15
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:15
    Jock Landale misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  8. Q4 00:15
    Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  9. Q4 00:23
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:25
    Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 00:37
    +2
    Cam Spencer makes two point stepback jump shot
    105-106
  12. Q4 00:49
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:51
    Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:01
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:06
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:26
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
    105-106
  17. Q4 1:38
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
    105-106
  18. Q4 1:39
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  19. Q4 1:39
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  20. Q4 1:43
    Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
  21. Q4 1:47
    De'Aaron Fox blocks Jaylen Wells's two point jump shot
  22. Q4 1:50
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  23. Q4 1:55
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 2:05
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:07
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:28
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point pullup jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    98-97
  27. Q4 2:44
    +2
    Jock Landale makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
    105-106
  28. Q4 2:56
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    105-106
  29. Q4 3:13
    Jump ball. Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. Stephon Castle (Grizzlies gains possession)
  30. Q4 3:13
    Stephon Castle personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
  31. Q4 3:13
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-106
  32. Q4 3:13
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-106
  33. Q4 3:13
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie)
  34. Q4 3:13
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)
  35. Q4 3:19
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  36. Q4 3:19
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  37. Q4 3:26
    Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Julian Champagnie steals)
  38. Q4 3:45
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  39. Q4 3:45
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  40. Q4 3:45
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr., Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  41. Q4 3:46
    +3
    Victor Wembanyama makes three point running jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    98-97
  42. Q4 3:48
    Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
  43. Q4 3:51
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 3:57
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Cam Spencer steals)
  45. Q4 4:14
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  46. Q4 4:14
    Grizzlies turnover
  47. Q4 4:33
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
    105-106
  48. Q4 4:50
    Spurs defensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 4:52
    Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 4:58
    Spurs personal foul
  52. Q4 5:04
    Julian Champagnie personal foul
  53. Q4 5:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  54. Q4 5:07
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  55. Q4 5:07
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  56. Q4 5:08
    Cam Spencer misses three point running pullup jump shot
  57. Q4 5:10
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 5:29
    Jock Landale personal foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
  60. Q4 5:29
    Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
  61. Q4 5:29
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer)
  62. Q4 5:52
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    98-97
  63. Q4 6:06
    Javon Small misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 6:07
    Grizzlies turnover
  65. Q4 6:07
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  66. Q4 6:07
    Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  67. Q4 6:31
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
  68. Q4 6:31
    Dylan Harper turnover
  69. Q4 6:31
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  70. Q4 6:44
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
    91-97
  71. Q4 7:00
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
    105-106
  72. Q4 7:00
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  73. Q4 7:03
    Keldon Johnson misses two point driving layup
  74. Q4 7:13
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  75. Q4 7:16
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 7:25
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 7:44
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    105-106
  79. Q4 8:01
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  80. Q4 8:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 8:23
    +3
    Jock Landale makes three point jump shot
    105-106
  82. Q4 8:41
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    105-106
  83. Q4 8:41
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  84. Q4 8:41
    Grizzlies personal foul
  85. Q4 8:41
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  86. Q4 8:41
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-106
  87. Q4 8:42
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  88. Q4 8:47
    Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
  89. Q4 9:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 9:05
    Grizzlies personal foul
  91. Q4 9:05
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  92. Q4 9:05
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  93. Q4 9:07
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  94. Q4 9:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:16
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  96. Q4 9:20
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 9:32
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    86-90
  98. Q4 9:34
    Spurs offensive rebound
  99. Q4 9:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  100. Q4 9:36
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 9:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  102. Q4 9:51
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:54
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 10:02
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  105. Q4 10:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  106. Q4 10:22
    +2
    Cam Spencer makes two point jump shot
    98-97
  107. Q4 10:45
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  108. Q4 10:45
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
  109. Q4 10:48
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  110. Q4 10:50
    Vince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 10:59
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    86-90
  112. Q4 11:18
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Christian Koloko assists)
    81-88
  113. Q4 11:21
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  114. Q4 11:24
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  115. Q4 11:36
    Stephon Castle personal foul
  116. Q4 11:36
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    81-84
  117. Q4 11:36
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-106
  118. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
  119. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  120. Q3 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  121. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  122. Q3 00:17
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    98-97
  123. Q3 00:38
    Grizzlies personal foul
  124. Q3 00:38
    Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  125. Q3 00:38
    Spurs offensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:38
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-106
  127. Q3 00:51
    Stephon Castle personal foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
  128. Q3 00:51
    +1
    Vince Williams Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-106
  129. Q3 00:52
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    72-71
  130. Q3 1:07
    Grizzlies personal foul
  131. Q3 1:07
    Jeremy Sochan offensive foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
  132. Q3 1:07
    Jeremy Sochan turnover (offensive foul)
  133. Q3 1:11
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
  134. Q3 1:11
    Vince Williams Jr. turnover
  135. Q3 1:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-71
  136. Q3 1:32
    Grizzlies turnover
  137. Q3 1:51
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  138. Q3 1:51
    Grizzlies personal foul
  139. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-106
  140. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-106
  141. Q3 1:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  142. Q3 1:52
    Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
  143. Q3 1:54
    Stephon Castle turnover
  144. Q3 1:57
    Grizzlies turnover
  145. Q3 2:03
    Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball) (Javon Small steals)
  146. Q3 2:07
    Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
  147. Q3 2:09
    Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
  148. Q3 2:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  149. Q3 2:12
    Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:14
    Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
  151. Q3 2:17
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 2:28
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-71
  153. Q3 2:28
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
  154. Q3 2:28
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-90
  155. Q3 2:42
    Spurs turnover
  156. Q3 2:48
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  157. Q3 2:51
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  158. Q3 3:03
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  159. Q3 3:03
    Spurs personal foul
  160. Q3 3:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 3:07
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  162. Q3 3:10
    Santi Aldama blocks Luke Kornet's two point putback layup
  163. Q3 3:11
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  164. Q3 3:13
    Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
  165. Q3 3:22
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  166. Q3 3:25
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:29
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul
  168. Q3 3:29
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Jeremy Sochan, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  169. Q3 3:43
    +3
    Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    72-71
  170. Q3 3:53
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    86-90
  171. Q3 4:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-71
  172. Q3 4:05
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    72-71
  173. Q3 4:05
    Santi Aldama personal foul
  174. Q3 4:05
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
  175. Q3 4:05
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  176. Q3 4:18
    Javon Small turnover
  177. Q3 4:33
    Spurs turnover
  178. Q3 4:43
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    70-70
  179. Q3 4:43
    Spurs personal foul
  180. Q3 4:43
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    86-90
  181. Q3 4:51
    Santi Aldama offensive rebound
  182. Q3 4:52
    Santi Aldama misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 5:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-71
  184. Q3 5:07
    Santi Aldama turnover (bad pass) (Jordan McLaughlin steals)
  185. Q3 5:15
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
    70-71
  186. Q3 5:31
    +2
    Christian Koloko makes two point jump shot
    70-70
  187. Q3 5:46
    +3
    Jordan McLaughlin makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    61-61
  188. Q3 5:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  189. Q3 5:49
    Spurs offensive rebound
  190. Q3 5:49
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
  191. Q3 5:49
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  192. Q3 5:49
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  193. Q3 5:50
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 5:56
    Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
  195. Q3 6:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  196. Q3 6:14
    Grizzlies turnover
  197. Q3 6:21
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  198. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    61-61
  199. Q3 6:23
    Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  200. Q3 6:23
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  201. Q3 6:23
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
  202. Q3 6:23
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
  203. Q3 6:40
    Victor Wembanyama defensive goaltending violation
  204. Q3 6:40
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  205. Q3 6:40
    +2
    Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
    72-71
  206. Q3 6:42
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 6:57
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  208. Q3 7:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 7:17
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    72-71
  210. Q3 7:19
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  211. Q3 7:21
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  212. Q3 7:27
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (Jaylen Wells steals)
  213. Q3 7:34
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  214. Q3 7:38
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  215. Q3 7:52
    Jock Landale shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  216. Q3 7:52
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-61
  217. Q3 7:52
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  218. Q3 7:52
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-71
  219. Q3 7:52
    Grizzlies violation
  220. Q3 7:58
    +2
    Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
    70-71
  221. Q3 8:00
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  222. Q3 8:00
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  223. Q3 8:00
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  224. Q3 8:03
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 8:18
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-71
  226. Q3 8:36
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  227. Q3 8:40
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  228. Q3 8:53
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  229. Q3 8:54
    Jock Landale misses two point tip layup
  230. Q3 8:54
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  231. Q3 8:57
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  232. Q3 8:57
    Dylan Harper personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
  233. Q3 8:57
    Cam Spencer misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  234. Q3 9:10
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  235. Q3 9:13
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 9:34
    +3
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    60-61
  237. Q3 9:38
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  238. Q3 9:40
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  239. Q3 9:57
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  240. Q3 9:57
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    61-61
  241. Q3 9:57
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
  242. Q3 10:02
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  243. Q3 10:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  244. Q3 10:18
    +3
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    72-71
  245. Q3 10:20
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  246. Q3 10:23
    Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
  247. Q3 10:40
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  248. Q3 10:42
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  249. Q3 10:48
    Grizzlies personal foul
  250. Q3 10:59
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)
    61-61
  251. Q3 11:24
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    72-71
  252. Q3 11:26
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  253. Q3 11:30
    GG Jackson misses two point driving layup
  254. Q3 11:35
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  255. Q3 11:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  256. Q3 11:41
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  257. Q3 11:45
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  258. Q2 00:00
    Stephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Christian Koloko steals)
  259. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  260. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  261. Q2 00:00
    Santi Aldama misses heave shot
  262. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  263. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  264. Q2 00:12
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    54-46
  265. Q2 00:29
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point driving floating jump shot
    54-46
  266. Q2 00:40
    +3
    Santi Aldama makes three point jump shot
    54-46
  267. Q2 00:51
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  268. Q2 00:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 1:00
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  270. Q2 1:05
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  271. Q2 1:09
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  272. Q2 1:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 1:21
    Jaren Jackson Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
  274. Q2 1:21
    Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  275. Q2 1:28
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    52-41
  276. Q2 1:34
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  277. Q2 1:36
    Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 1:56
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    54-46
  279. Q2 2:08
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  280. Q2 2:10
    Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  281. Q2 2:10
    Spurs personal foul
  282. Q2 2:10
    Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  283. Q2 2:10
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  284. Q2 2:10
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
  285. Q2 2:10
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  286. Q2 2:27
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  287. Q2 2:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 2:37
    Grizzlies turnover
  289. Q2 2:48
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  290. Q2 2:50
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
  291. Q2 3:02
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  292. Q2 3:06
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  293. Q2 3:08
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 3:19
    Jaylen Wells turnover
  295. Q2 3:28
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  296. Q2 3:28
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
  297. Q2 3:28
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
  298. Q2 3:28
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  299. Q2 3:29
    Javon Small misses three point stepback jump shot
  300. Q2 3:42
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  301. Q2 3:45
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 4:03
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
    54-46
  303. Q2 4:16
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot
    54-46
  304. Q2 4:37
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    52-41
  305. Q2 4:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    52-41
  306. Q2 4:53
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  307. Q2 4:55
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  308. Q2 5:10
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point driving layup
    44-37
  309. Q2 5:10
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  310. Q2 5:17
    Jock Landale blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving reverse layup
  311. Q2 5:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  312. Q2 5:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:17
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  314. Q2 5:22
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  315. Q2 5:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 5:38
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  317. Q2 5:40
    Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
  318. Q2 5:53
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  319. Q2 5:58
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  320. Q2 6:07
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  321. Q2 6:09
    Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
  322. Q2 6:22
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  323. Q2 6:26
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
  324. Q2 6:38
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point running jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    42-37
  325. Q2 6:41
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  326. Q2 6:45
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 6:53
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    48-41
  328. Q2 6:56
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
  329. Q2 6:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  330. Q2 7:07
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 7:08
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  332. Q2 7:08
    Grizzlies turnover
  333. Q2 7:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  334. Q2 7:10
    Christian Koloko offensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:20
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  337. Q2 7:24
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 7:28
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  339. Q2 7:33
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 7:36
    Grizzlies turnover
  341. Q2 7:38
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  342. Q2 7:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  343. Q2 7:38
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  344. Q2 7:42
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  345. Q2 7:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  346. Q2 8:00
    +3
    Vince Williams Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    37-37
  347. Q2 8:03
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  348. Q2 8:07
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  349. Q2 8:12
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  350. Q2 8:14
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  351. Q2 8:27
    Grizzlies personal foul
  352. Q2 8:27
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-34
  353. Q2 8:27
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-34
  354. Q2 8:38
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    35-34
  355. Q2 8:54
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  356. Q2 8:56
    Grizzlies personal foul
  357. Q2 8:56
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-32
  358. Q2 8:56
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  359. Q2 8:56
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  360. Q2 9:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    34-32
  361. Q2 9:20
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    34-29
  362. Q2 9:32
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    31-29
  363. Q2 9:45
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  364. Q2 9:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  365. Q2 10:10
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    31-26
  366. Q2 10:10
    Spurs violation
  367. Q2 10:10
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  368. Q2 10:10
    Instant replay
  369. Q2 10:17
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  370. Q2 10:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  371. Q2 10:41
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    31-24
  372. Q2 10:41
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  373. Q2 10:48
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  374. Q2 10:53
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  375. Q2 11:03
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  376. Q2 11:03
    Spurs offensive rebound
  377. Q2 11:03
    Grizzlies personal foul
  378. Q2 11:11
    Grizzlies turnover
  379. Q2 11:17
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  380. Q2 11:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  381. Q2 11:28
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  382. Q2 11:31
    GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
  383. Q2 11:33
    Christian Koloko offensive rebound
  384. Q2 11:35
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  385. Q2 11:47
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  386. Q2 11:50
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  387. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  388. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Christian Koloko)
  389. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  390. Q1 00:01
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 00:19
    Grizzlies turnover
  392. Q1 00:19
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  393. Q1 00:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    31-21
  394. Q1 00:33
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  395. Q1 00:36
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  396. Q1 00:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-21
  397. Q1 1:03
    Grizzlies turnover
  398. Q1 1:07
    Spurs personal foul
  399. Q1 1:07
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    26-21
  400. Q1 1:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  401. Q1 1:15
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  402. Q1 1:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  403. Q1 1:15
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  404. Q1 1:17
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  405. Q1 1:23
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  406. Q1 1:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  407. Q1 1:39
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    26-20
  408. Q1 1:44
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  409. Q1 1:48
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  410. Q1 1:56
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  411. Q1 1:59
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 2:11
    Grizzlies personal foul
  413. Q1 2:11
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    24-18
  414. Q1 2:11
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    25-18
  415. Q1 2:11
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    26-18
  416. Q1 2:11
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  417. Q1 2:25
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    23-18
  418. Q1 2:35
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  419. Q1 2:35
    Spurs personal foul
  420. Q1 2:35
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  421. Q1 2:36
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  422. Q1 2:38
    Santi Aldama offensive rebound
  423. Q1 2:40
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  424. Q1 2:58
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    23-15
  425. Q1 3:02
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  426. Q1 3:05
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 3:12
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  428. Q1 3:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 3:18
    Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
  430. Q1 3:18
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  431. Q1 3:19
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  432. Q1 3:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  433. Q1 3:29
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  434. Q1 3:33
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  435. Q1 3:44
    Spurs personal foul
  436. Q1 3:44
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  437. Q1 3:48
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  438. Q1 3:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 4:07
    Christian Koloko offensive rebound
  440. Q1 4:07
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    20-15
  441. Q1 4:13
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 4:28
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    20-13
  443. Q1 4:46
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  444. Q1 4:46
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  445. Q1 4:48
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    17-13
  446. Q1 4:56
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  447. Q1 5:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 5:08
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  449. Q1 5:12
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 5:12
    Santi Aldama misses two point tip layup
  451. Q1 5:12
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  452. Q1 5:31
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  453. Q1 5:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  454. Q1 5:36
    Spurs turnover
  455. Q1 5:36
    Grizzlies turnover
  456. Q1 5:49
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    17-13
  457. Q1 5:49
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  458. Q1 5:53
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  459. Q1 5:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 6:00
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  461. Q1 6:04
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  462. Q1 6:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    17-10
  463. Q1 6:30
    Grizzlies turnover
  464. Q1 6:30
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  465. Q1 6:30
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
  466. Q1 6:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    15-10
  467. Q1 6:55
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    13-10
  468. Q1 7:14
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  469. Q1 7:14
    Grizzlies personal foul
  470. Q1 7:14
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-7
  471. Q1 7:14
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-7
  472. Q1 7:17
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  473. Q1 7:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  474. Q1 7:26
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  475. Q1 7:27
    Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
  476. Q1 7:30
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  477. Q1 7:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    11-7
  478. Q1 7:50
    Grizzlies personal foul
  479. Q1 7:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer)
  480. Q1 7:50
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  481. Q1 8:03
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    8-7
  482. Q1 8:07
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  483. Q1 8:10
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  484. Q1 8:22
    Grizzlies turnover
  485. Q1 8:26
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  486. Q1 8:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  487. Q1 8:36
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  488. Q1 8:38
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  489. Q1 8:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  490. Q1 8:51
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  491. Q1 8:57
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  492. Q1 8:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
  493. Q1 8:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  494. Q1 9:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  495. Q1 9:09
    Grizzlies turnover
  496. Q1 9:20
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-5
  497. Q1 9:22
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  498. Q1 9:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  499. Q1 9:32
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  500. Q1 9:35
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  501. Q1 9:47
    Spurs turnover
  502. Q1 9:53
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  503. Q1 9:55
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  504. Q1 10:08
    Spurs turnover
  505. Q1 10:14
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  506. Q1 10:16
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  507. Q1 10:28
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  508. Q1 10:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  509. Q1 10:44
    Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
  510. Q1 10:44
    Spurs personal foul
  511. Q1 10:44
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-4
  512. Q1 10:44
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-5
  513. Q1 10:46
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  514. Q1 11:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    5-3
  515. Q1 11:13
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  516. Q1 11:27
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  517. Q1 11:41
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  518. Q1 11:43
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  519. Q1 11:59
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  520. Q1 11:59
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  521. Q1 11:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
  522. Q1 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  523. Q1 12:00
    Luke Kornet vs. Jaren Jackson Jr. (Cam Spencer gains possession)
  524. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  525. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs -235, Grizzlies +205

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 68%
  • Grizzlies: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 121-116 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 68%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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