NBA picks today: Tuesday's best bets include Lakers vs. Pelicans play [1/6/2026]

Lakers vs. Pelicans under 245.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on under 245.5 points in Lakers vs. Pelicans at -106 odds. A 56.4% probability produces an edge of 5.0%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Mavericks -5.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Mavericks -5.5 carries a 2.5% edge and a probability of 52.5% at +100 odds, according to our model.

Timberwolves ML (-200)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Timberwolves ML at -200 odds shows a 2.1% edge, supported by a 68.8% probability in simulations.

Clippers +5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

A 3.6% edge and 54.8% probability make Clippers +5.5 vs. Knicks at a value play in the Clippers vs. Knicks matchup, per our model.

Mavericks -5.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Mavericks -5.5 at +100 odds presents a 2.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.5%.

Timberwolves ML (-200)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model finds value on Timberwolves to win at -200 odds, supported by an edge of 2.1%.

Grizzlies +5.5 (-102)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Grizzlies +5.5 at -102 odds. A 52.5% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Heat vs. Timberwolves under 238.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 2.0% edge on a 53.5% probability makes under 238.5 points at -106 odds a solid value play in today's Heat vs. Timberwolves matchup.

NBA best bets summary: Tuesday, 1/6/2026

As of 7:33PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Lakers vs. Pelicans	Under 245.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	5.0%	56.4%
Mavericks vs. Kings	Mavericks -5.5	+100 @ BetMGM	2.5%	52.5%
Heat vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves ML	-200 @ FanDuel	2.1%	68.8%
Clippers vs. Knicks	Clippers +5.5	-105 @ DraftKings	3.6%	54.8%
Mavericks vs. Kings	Mavericks -5.5	+100 @ BetMGM	2.5%	52.5%
Heat vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves ML	-200 @ FanDuel	2.1%	68.8%
Spurs vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies +5.5	-102 @ DraftKings	2.0%	52.5%
Heat vs. Timberwolves	Under 238.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	2.0%	53.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [1/6/2026]

• Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Spurs vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Raptors vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bulls vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nuggets vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Magic vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Clippers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for January 6, 2026, featuring plays such as under 245.5 points in the Lakers vs. Pelicans matchup and Mavericks -5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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