...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [2/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 8:30 PM ET as the favored San Antonio Spurs lock horns with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Brandon Williams, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Spurs and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 71% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 116-110.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Mavericks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-115) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +230 |
| Total | o229.5 (-105) | u229.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +230 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +6.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Mavericks player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Spurs vs. Mavericks game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 22 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 23 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 50 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 39 |
| Stephon Castle | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 44 |
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| B. Williams | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| Klay Thompson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
Spurs vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Mavericks and Spurs at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Thursday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure