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Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
135
123
Feb 6, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Feb 6, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 38 | 39 | 40 | 2 | 135 |
Mavericks | 39 | 31 | 41 | 2 | 123 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 38 | 39 | 40 | 2 | 135 |
Mavericks | 39 | 31 | 41 | 2 | 123 |
Q4 00:48 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Stephon Castle makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:54 Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:16 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:08 Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point tip layup
119-113
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-113
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
119-113
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-113
Spurs personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-113
Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
119-113
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-113
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks personal foul
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot
119-113
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
119-113
Max Christie defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point running dunk (Max Christie assists)
119-113
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
119-113
Naji Marshall personal foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
119-113
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
119-113
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Harper shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-113
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-113
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
119-113
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
119-113
Jump ball. (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
119-113
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
119-113
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
119-113
Spurs personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
117-111
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-111
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point running jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
117-111
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point running jump shot
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point running jump shot
Harrison Barnes turnover (Caleb Martin steals)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
112-105
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
117-111
Daniel Gafford personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-111
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-111
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
117-111
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
117-111
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
117-111
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
117-111
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
117-111
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
101-98
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
112-105
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Daniel Gafford blocks Julian Champagnie's two point cutting layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
Ryan Nembhard personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-94
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-105
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Miles Kelly)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point running layup
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Dylan Harper blocks Mavericks's two point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
99-94
+3
Miles Kelly makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
99-94
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-94
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-91
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg, Miles Kelly)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Keldon Johnson turnover (traveling)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Moussa Cisse blocks Spurs's two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
Dylan Harper kicked ball violation
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-94
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
112-105
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
93-86
Naji Marshall personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
90-86
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
99-94
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
Max Christie defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
112-105
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
90-80
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
87-78
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point turnaround jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
87-75
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-94
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-105
Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-94
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
90-80
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
90-80
Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
Caleb Martin offensive foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-80
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
93-86
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-86
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot
93-86
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Max Christie makes two point jump shot
93-86
Victor Wembanyama offensive foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks turnover
Harrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
93-86
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Daniel Gafford steals)
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
74-63
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point running jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
69-58
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
74-63
Mavericks personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-63
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-63
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point alley-oop layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
74-63
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
74-63
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround hook shot
69-58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-54
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
65-54
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay (Request)
Carter Bryant turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point putback layup
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
74-63
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot
58-52
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
58-52
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running layup
58-52
Mavericks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-58
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
58-52
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
58-52
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
58-52
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point running dunk
58-52
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Cooper Flagg turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point running layup (Stephon Castle assists)
58-52
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
58-52
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-52
Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks turnover
Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
58-52
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
49-48
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
49-48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly)
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Nembhard steals)
Mavericks delay of game violation
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
38-39
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Jordan McLaughlin misses three point jump shot
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point jump shot
38-39
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
49-48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
38-39
Victor Wembanyama turnover
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
38-39
Ryan Nembhard personal foul
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-39
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-39
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Miles Kelly)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point pullup jump shot
36-35
Miles Kelly shooting foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-35
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot
38-35
Daniel Gafford blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point tip layup
35-31
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving finger roll layup (Harrison Barnes assists)
33-31
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
36-35
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
31-29
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
31-27
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-26
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-27
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
29-25
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-22
Mavericks offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-21
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Miles Kelly)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-22
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
27-20
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Spurs turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-20
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
25-18
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
22-18
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-16
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-16
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-15
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-16
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-14
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-14
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-14
Spurs personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
15-12
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
12-12
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 24 | D. Vassell | 12 | 7 | 3 |
| C | 1 | V. Wembanyama | 29 | 11 | 6 |
| F | 40 | H. Barnes | 19 | 1 | 3 |
| G | 5 | S. Castle | 18 | 7 | 6 |
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 17 | 3 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 20 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 13 | N. Marshall | 32 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 31 | K. Thompson | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 32 | C. Flagg | 32 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 8 | 4 | 1 |
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Spurs vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -310, Mavericks +260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 74%
- Mavericks: 26%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 118-110 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 74%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 26%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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