NBA picks today: Thursday's best bets include Heat vs. Celtics play [2/5/2026]

Today’s NBA picks for February 5, 2026 are here, with Heat vs. Celtics among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s NBA slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest basketball odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NBA picks tonight [2/5, updated 9:37PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, February 5, 2026.

Celtics -7.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Celtics -7.5 at -110 odds. A 59.2% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Heat ML (+220)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 38.1%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Heat ML carries a 6.8% edge and a probability of 38.1% at +220 odds, according to our model.

Lakers ML (-130)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Lakers ML at -130 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 60.5% probability in simulations.

Pelicans ML (+380)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 24.6%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Friday)

A 3.8% edge and 24.6% probability make Pelicans at the moneyline at a value play in the Pelicans vs. Timberwolves matchup, per our model.

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves under 236.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves under 236.5 points at -110 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.7%.

Bucks ML (+100)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Bucks to win at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 2.6%.

Pistons -1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pistons -1.5 at -102 odds. A 52.6% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

NBA best bets summary: Thursday, 2/5/2026

As of 9:37PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Heat vs. Celtics	Celtics -7.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.8%	59.2%
Heat vs. Celtics	Heat ML	+220 @ BetMGM	6.8%	38.1%
76ers vs. Lakers	Lakers ML	-130 @ DraftKings	4.0%	60.5%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves	Pelicans ML	+380 @ DraftKings	3.8%	24.6%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves	Under 236.5 Points	-110 @ FanDuel	3.3%	55.7%
Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks ML	+100 @ BetMGM	2.6%	52.6%
Knicks vs. Pistons	Pistons -1.5	-102 @ BetMGM	2.1%	52.6%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [2/5/2026]

• 76ers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Warriors vs. Suns (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Pelicans vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pacers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)

What Is Dimebot?

Dimebot is Dimers’ AI bet assistant, designed to surface swift insights, answer betting questions, and help you explore data more efficiently.

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for February 5, 2026, featuring plays such as Celtics -7.5 and Heat ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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