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- Predictions
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Suns NBA game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
101
97
Feb 6, 3AM Mortgage Matchup Center
Feb 6, 3AM Mortgage Matchup Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 25 | 101 |
Suns | 29 | 26 | 27 | 15 | 97 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
97%
3%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 25 | 101 |
Suns | 29 | 26 | 27 | 15 | 97 |
Q4 00:00 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:09 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:25 Suns misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
101-97
End of 4th Quarter.
Instant replay
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-97
Suns 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
97-97
Warriors 60 second timeout
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-97
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
Suns personal foul
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-97
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Al Horford, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer)
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-97
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
91-97
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
91-95
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Suns challenge timeout
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks)
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
88-95
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Suns turnover
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Suns turnover
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 3
85-95
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
84-95
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
Suns personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-92
Suns lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-92
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
82-92
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
79-92
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
79-90
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
76-90
Gui Santos personal foul (Oso Ighodaro draws the foul)
Warriors turnover
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
76-87
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses three point jump shot
+2
Jamaree Bouyea makes two point stepback jump shot
76-84
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
76-82
Warriors personal foul
Suns personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-80
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Jamaree Bouyea, Grayson Allen, Jordan Goodwin)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-80
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
74-83
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
74-80
Warriors personal foul
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
73-77
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard offensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Oso Ighodaro, Jordan Goodwin)
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-74
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-74
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
71-74
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Al Horford turnover (lost ball)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
71-72
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
71-70
Warriors personal foul
Suns lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
71-67
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
69-67
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
69-64
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-64
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
Al Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Suns personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
66-64
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
66-62
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
66-59
Mark Williams offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
Suns personal foul
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-56
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-56
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Dillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-56
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
64-55
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Dillon Brooks misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-55
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-55
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
59-55
+3
Gui Santos makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
59-55
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
+3
Collin Gillespie makes three point jump shot
59-55
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
59-55
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Jordan Goodwin misses three point jump shot
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+2
Mark Williams makes two point jump shot
59-55
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-55
Grayson Allen misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos personal foul (Loose ball) (Mark Williams draws the foul)
Suns offensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
53-48
Mark Williams offensive foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Mark Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
59-55
Suns personal foul
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Collin Gillespie, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
50-46
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Jordan Goodwin makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)
47-46
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-46
+2
Dillon Brooks makes two point jump shot
47-46
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point jump shot
47-46
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
47-46
+2
Dillon Brooks makes two point fadeaway jump shot
42-39
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-46
Suns turnover
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Al Horford turnover (lost ball)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-46
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
47-46
Will Richard personal foul (Collin Gillespie draws the foul)
Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Goodwin)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
40-36
Suns turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Moses Moody)
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks)
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Royce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)
47-46
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
47-46
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Oso Ighodaro misses two point cutting layup
Oso Ighodaro turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Oso Ighodaro)
Suns lineup change (Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Oso Ighodaro)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | M. Moody | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| G | 8 | D. Melton | 17 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 15 | 8 | 1 |
| C | 23 | D. Green | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| C-F | 20 | A. Horford | 13 | 4 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 0 | R. O'Neale | 9 | 1 | 5 |
| F | 11 | O. Ighodaro | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 12 | C. Gillespie | 11 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 23 | J. Goodwin | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 3 | D. Brooks | 24 | 6 | 1 |
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Warriors vs. Suns: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Suns
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Suns favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 212.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +188, Suns -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 31%
- Suns: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 104-110 Suns.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 31%, while the Suns have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Suns predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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