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Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State prediction: New Mexico State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
New Mexico State and Sam Houston State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Pan American Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts New Mexico State as the most likely winner of the Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sam Houston State and New Mexico State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives New Mexico State a 72% chance of defeating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico State winning 80-74.
According to our model, New Mexico State (-4.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 154.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.
Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sam Houston State | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-105) | -4.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | o154.5 (-110) | u154.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico State -4.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | New Mexico State | -205 |
| Total | Under 154.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico State -4.5 at the spread.
Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between New Mexico State and Sam Houston State at Pan American Center is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Pan American Center
Conclusion
We predict New Mexico State, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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