Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/28/2026]

Missouri State will square off with Sam Houston State, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Great Southern Bank Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Missouri State a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Sam Houston State.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sam Houston State and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Missouri State a 54% chance of beating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 74-73.

According to our model, Sam Houston State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sam Houston State +1.5 at the spread.

Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between Missouri State and Sam Houston State at Great Southern Bank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State
• Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena

Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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