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Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Why Middle Tennessee is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sam Houston State vs Middle Tennessee predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Middle Tennessee will face Sam Houston State in men's college basketball action at Murphy Center on Sunday, commencing at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Middle Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Sam Houston State and Middle Tennessee 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Middle Tennessee a 69% chance of beating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has Middle Tennessee winning 80-74.
According to our model, Middle Tennessee (-4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sam Houston State | Middle Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-105) | -4.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +195 | -210 |
| Total | o156.5 (-110) | u156.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Middle Tennessee -4.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Middle Tennessee | -210 |
| Total | Under 156.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 156.5 total points.
Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Middle Tennessee and Sam Houston State at Murphy Center is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Murphy Center
Conclusion
We predict Middle Tennessee, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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