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Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona prediction: Northern Arizona favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Northern Arizona will take on Sacramento State, in what is expected to be a tight men's college basketball game, at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Northern Arizona a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Sacramento State.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sacramento State and Northern Arizona 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Northern Arizona a 52% chance of beating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Northern Arizona winning 76-75.
According to our model, Sacramento State (+2.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sacramento State | Northern Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -135 |
| Total | o153.5 (-110) | u153.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State +2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sacramento State | +118 |
| Total | Under 153.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sacramento State +2.5 at the spread.
Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Northern Arizona and Sacramento State at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome
Conclusion
We predict Northern Arizona, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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