Kings vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Thursday's NBA game [12/18/2025]

The Portland Trail Blazers will square off with the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Moda Center on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Trail Blazers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature stars like Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Jerami Grant, while the Kings will rely on DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook and Keegan Murray.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Kings and Trail Blazers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Trail Blazers a 74% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 122-115.

According to our model, the Kings (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Trail Blazers
Spread	+8.5 (-105)	-8.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+280	-340
Total	o238.5 (-106)	u238.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +8.5	-105
Moneyline	Kings	+280
Total	Under 238.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Under 238.5 total points.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers player props

Looking for Kings vs. Trail Blazers NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 25 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
DeMar DeRozan	20	4	4	1	36
R. Westbrook	16	7	7	2	41
Keegan Murray	16	7	2	2	34
Malik Monk	14	3	4	2	29
Maxime Raynaud	13	7	2	1	29

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	25	7	7	3	50
Shaedon Sharpe	22	5	3	2	39
Jerami Grant	20	4	3	3	35
Toumani Camara	13	5	3	2	29
Donovan Clingan	10	10	2	1	31

Kings vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Trail Blazers and Kings at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers
• Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Thursday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Trail Blazers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.