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Kings vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Saturday.
NBA action continues on Saturday at 8:00PM ET as the Sacramento Kings take on the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature stars like Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins, while the Kings will look to Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Keegan Murray.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Heat a 75% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 122-115.
According to our model, the Kings (+8) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Kings vs. Heat odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8 (-106) | -8 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +275 | -325 |
| Total | o239.5 (-110) | u239.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +8 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +275 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +8 at the spread.
Kings vs. Heat player props
Betting on Kings vs. Heat NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 22 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Keegan Murray | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| R. Westbrook | 14 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| Bam Adebayo | 21 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 45 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
Kings vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Heat and Kings at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Bam Adebayo projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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