Kings vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [11/3/2025]

The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, beginning at 9:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Kings will look to Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Kings and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets an 80% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-112.

According to our model, the Kings (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 236.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Nuggets
Spread	+11.5 (-106)	-11.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+460	-550
Total	o236.5 (-110)	u236.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +11.5	-106
Moneyline	Kings	+460
Total	Under 236.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +11.5 at the spread.

Kings vs. Nuggets player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Kings vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 25 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Zach LaVine	23	4	4	3
DeMar DeRozan	21	4	5	1
Domantas Sabonis	17	13	5	1
Russell Westbrook	14	5	5	2
Dennis Schroder	14	3	6	2

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Nikola Jokic	25	12	11	2
Jamal Murray	22	4	6	2
Aaron Gordon	18	5	4	2
Cameron Johnson	16	4	3	2
Christian Braun	13	4	3	1

Kings vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Nuggets and Kings at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Monday, November 3, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate projections for the NBA title.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.