Prop Holliday NFL Betting Picks, Predictions and Parlay: Sunday, September 26, 2021Sep 25, 2021 at 12:34AM
A monster Sunday slate of football is on the menu for Week 3 and Prop Holliday is back with his three best prop plays of the day.
Free NFL Props for Sunday, September 26, 2021
Washington vs. Bills, Sun Sept 26, 1:00pm (EDT)
BET: Adam Humphries OVER 3.5 receptions with TwinSpires Sportsbook (+115)
🤖 DimersBOT: 30 yards projected
I was shocked to see the line come out this low AND for ++ money considering what we’ve seen in a small sample size from Humphries/Heinicke. Last Thursday night, Humphries hauled in 7 receptions on 8 targets and only trailed Terry McLaurin for targets. The matchup is what’s most interesting for me: The Buffalo Bills. In Week 1, Buffalo surrendered 5 receptions to slot WR Diontae Johnson (most on the team that day). In Week 2, despite playing with a cold Jacoby Brissett, slot WR Albert Wilson still managed 4 receptions. I expect elite CB Tre’Davious White to trail Terry McLaurin all game, requiring Heinicke to use Humphries in bail out situations to move the sticks. The value at +115 is too good to ignore all this considered.
MORE: Washington vs. Bills simulator
WEEK 3: Most likely TD scorers
Falcons vs. Giants, Sun Sept 26, 1:00pm (EDT)
BET: Kyle Pitts OVER 4.5 receptions (-135)
🤖 DimersBOT: 56 yards projected
Pitts had his first real breakout game last week with 5 receptions for 73 yards; what’s most exciting is that his snap count increased by 11% from Week 1 as Arthur Smith looks for more ways to work Pitts into this offense. Despite the juice, I feel great about Pitts getting 7+ targets per game and fully expect 5 receptions per game to be his floor going forward. The reason I feel the most comfortable laying the -135 is the matchup. This Giants defense has been awful vs opposing TE’s. In Week 1, Noah Fant went off for 6 receptions and last week, Logan Thomas hit 5 catches (was my TNF football play!). I like targeting someone’s floor in a favorable matchup and would put 1.5Units on this play.
Buccaneers vs. Rams, Sun Sept 26, 4:25pm (EDT)
BET: Chris Godwin OVER 5.5 receptions (+100)
🤖 DimersBOT: 84 yards projected
Godwin enters Sunday in a very advantageous situation; Jalen Ramsey will tail Mike Evans all day as he did last year, and Antonio Brown is out due to COVID protocol. Last season vs Rams, Godwin had 10 targets and 7 catches and saw 6+ targets in 10 of 12 games last year. Although last weekend Godwin slumped, the Falcons dominated the time of possession (+7min) limiting Godwin’s opportunities. In Week 1, Godwin saw 14 targets for 9 receptions. Aside from the obvious, Godwin lined up in the slot 52% of the time last year and as we’ve discussed before, Nickel CB is the weak link in this Rams defense. Great spot for even money!
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Free NFL Props Parlay For Sunday, September 26, 2021
🔥 Humphries o3.5 receptions
🔥 Pitts o4.5 receptions
🔥 Godwin o4.5 receptions
💰 Parlay these prop picks (+648)
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