Steelers vs. Browns prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]

The Cleveland Browns will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 17 action at Huntington Bank Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Steelers as the most likely winner of the Steelers vs. Browns game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Steelers vs. Browns prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Steelers-Browns predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Browns 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Steelers a 66% chance of beating the Browns in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 19-16.

According to our model, the Browns (+4) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 34.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.

Steelers vs. Browns odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Browns
Spread	-4 (-110)	+4 (-110)
Moneyline	-198	+180
Total	o34.5 (-108)	u34.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Browns picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Browns +4	-110
Moneyline	Steelers	-198
Total	Over 34.5	-108

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns +4 at the spread.

Steelers vs. Browns TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Browns?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 17, Jaylen Warren is most likely to score an anytime TD in Steelers vs. Browns.

Our projections give Warren a 38.9% chance of scoring a TD at Huntington Bank Field, while the running back is an 11.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	38.9%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	36.5%
Adam Thielen (WR)	19.6%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR)	17.3%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	17.2%

Cleveland Browns

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Harold Fannin (TE)	25.9%
Raheim Sanders (RB)	25.5%
Dylan Sampson (RB)	22.8%
Jerry Jeudy (WR)	16.2%
Trayveon Williams (RB)	11.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	11.1%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	10.2%
Adam Thielen (WR)	4.9%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR)	4.3%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	4.3%

Cleveland Browns

Player	First TD Probability
Harold Fannin (TE)	7.2%
Raheim Sanders (RB)	7.0%
Dylan Sampson (RB)	6.2%
Jerry Jeudy (WR)	4.2%
Trayveon Williams (RB)	3.0%

Steelers vs Browns player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Browns. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 196 passing yards, while the Browns' Shedeur Sanders is expected to throw for just 183 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)	196
Shedeur Sanders (CLE)	183

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	59
Kenneth Gainwell	39
Aaron Rodgers	4

Browns rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Dylan Sampson	42
Raheim Sanders	24
Shedeur Sanders	19

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Kenneth Gainwell	31
Darnell Washington	28
Pat Freiermuth	26
Adam Thielen	26
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	22

Browns receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Harold Fannin	50
Jerry Jeudy	35
Dylan Sampson	21
Isaiah Bond	19
Malachi Corley	18

Steelers vs. Browns game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 17 game between the Browns and Steelers at Huntington Bank Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Huntington Bank Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 17 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Browns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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