...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Steelers vs. Browns prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 17 action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Steelers lock horns with the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Steelers as the most likely winner of the Steelers vs. Browns game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Steelers vs. Browns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Steelers-Browns predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Browns 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Steelers a 66% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 19-15.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Steelers and Browns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 34.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Steelers vs. Browns odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Steelers | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -185 | +165 |
| Total | o34.5 (-110) | u34.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Steelers vs. Browns picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Steelers | -185 |
| Total | Over 34.5 | -110 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Steelers to win.
Steelers vs. Browns TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Browns?
According to our model, Jaylen Warren is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Browns.
Our projections give Warren a 36.0% chance of scoring a TD at Huntington Bank Field, while the running back is a 9.8% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 36.0% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 35.7% |
| Adam Thielen (WR) | 20.0% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR) | 19.1% |
| Pat Freiermuth (TE) | 17.4% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Raheim Sanders (RB) | 27.3% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 25.8% |
| Dylan Sampson (RB) | 22.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 16.5% |
| Isaiah Bond (WR) | 11.5% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 9.8% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 9.7% |
| Adam Thielen (WR) | 4.9% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR) | 4.6% |
| Pat Freiermuth (TE) | 4.2% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Raheim Sanders (RB) | 7.4% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 6.9% |
| Dylan Sampson (RB) | 5.8% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 4.2% |
| Isaiah Bond (WR) | 2.8% |
Steelers vs Browns player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Browns. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 191 passing yards. The Browns' Shedeur Sanders is expected to throw for just 183 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | 191 |
| Shedeur Sanders (CLE) | 183 |
Steelers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 55 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 38 |
| Kaleb Johnson | 10 |
Browns rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Dylan Sampson | 43 |
| Raheim Sanders | 27 |
| Shedeur Sanders | 18 |
Steelers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Gainwell | 30 |
| Darnell Washington | 28 |
| Adam Thielen | 27 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 26 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 26 |
Browns receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Harold Fannin | 52 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 34 |
| Dylan Sampson | 19 |
| Isaiah Bond | 18 |
| Malachi Corley | 18 |
Steelers vs. Browns game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Browns and Steelers at Huntington Bank Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Huntington Bank Field
NFL Week 17 betting promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Steelers vs. Browns predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.
DraftKings Sportsbook
Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Bet365 Sportsbook
Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.
Conclusion
We predict the Steelers, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Browns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure