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Penguins vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Detroit Red Wings predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Detroit Red Wings will square off with the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, beginning at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Red Wings as the most likely winner of the Penguins vs. Red Wings game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 55% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Red Wings odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-215) | -1.5 (+185) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -130 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Red Wings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -215 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +114 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Red Wings player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give DeBrincat a 38.8% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 36.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 32.5% |
| Rickard Rakell | 28.4% |
| Thomas Novak | 26.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 24.9% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 38.8% |
| Dylan Larkin | 35.5% |
| Lucas Raymond | 29.2% |
| Patrick Kane | 23.7% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 19.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 6.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.4% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.2% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.6% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.0% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 7.6% |
| Dylan Larkin | 6.6% |
| Lucas Raymond | 5.2% |
| Patrick Kane | 4.2% |
| Emmitt Finnie | 3.7% |
Penguins vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Red Wings and Penguins at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Red Wings, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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