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Penguins vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Red Wings NHL game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
4
1
Jan 3, 5PM Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Jan 3, 5PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
2024
Red Wings
0101
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
100%
0%
Red WingsDET
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
2024
Red Wings
0101
P3 19:28 Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte
P3 19:27 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 19:00 Goal scored by Rickard Rakell
P3 18:27 Connor Dewar shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 17:49 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 16:12 Kris Letang shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 15:16 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
P3 14:49 Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 11:25 Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 10:50 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by John Gibson
P3 10:45 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:06 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 08:57 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
P3 08:45 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 08:30 Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P3 08:23 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:34 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:28
Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P3 19:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte
4-1
P3 19:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 19:00
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P3 19:00
GOAL
Goal scored by Rickard Rakell
3-1
P3 18:27
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 17:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 16:12
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 15:58
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P3 15:58
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:16
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
P3 14:49
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 12:27
Giveaway by Andrew Copp in neutral zone
P3 12:10
Takeaway by Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 12:08
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P3 11:45
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P3 11:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:25
SHOT
Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 10:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by John Gibson
P3 10:48
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P3 10:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
P3 09:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 08:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
P3 08:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 08:31
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P3 08:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P3 08:25
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 08:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:40
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
P3 07:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
P3 06:46
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
P3 06:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
P3 06:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P3 04:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
P3 03:51
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:49
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 03:49
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:17
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 02:56
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Patrick Kane
P3 02:47
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
P3 02:47
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by John Gibson
P3 02:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 02:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
P3 02:01
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P3 01:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 00:34
Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Bryan Rust in defensive zone
P3 00:34
Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Hooking
P3 00:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
SHOT
Marco Kasper shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 19:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
P2 18:26
Power play - Andrew Copp credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
P2 17:57
Power play - Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
P2 17:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:25
Power play - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 17:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P2 16:41
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P2 16:41
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 16:41
Penalty to Thomas Novak 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Emmitt Finnie)
P2 15:17
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 15:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
P2 15:06
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 15:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P2 14:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P2 14:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P2 14:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by John Gibson
P2 13:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by John Gibson
P2 13:57
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P2 13:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
P2 12:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P2 12:29
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P2 11:49
Giveaway by Kris Letang in defensive zone
P2 11:34
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Andrew Copp
P2 10:44
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 10:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
P2 09:58
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P2 09:58
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:49
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 09:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 09:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P2 08:52
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
P2 08:47
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P2 08:11
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P2 07:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by John Gibson
P2 07:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Nate Danielson
P2 06:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 04:45
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
P2 04:32
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 04:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by John Gibson
P2 04:21
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P2 04:21
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 04:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by John Gibson
P2 03:55
Giveaway by Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
P2 03:05
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:03
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P2 03:03
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:09
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 02:09
Stoppage - Offside
P2 02:04
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
P2 01:35
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P2 01:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:32
Jacob Bernard-Docker credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 01:02
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
P2 01:02
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 00:49
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P2 00:46
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 00:46
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 00:38
SHOT
Mason Appleton shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P2 00:17
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P2 00:13
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P2 00:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P2 00:00
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 19:39
Takeaway by J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P1 19:11
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P1 18:35
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P1 18:32
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
P1 18:32
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:00
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 17:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:30
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
P1 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by John Gibson
P1 16:13
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P1 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
P1 15:45
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P1 15:28
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
P1 14:59
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 14:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 14:57
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 14:25
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
P1 14:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P1 14:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 13:51
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P1 13:51
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:12
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
P1 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:34
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P1 12:34
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:18
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 11:28
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by John Gibson
P1 11:00
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P1 11:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:58
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Compher
P1 10:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 09:54
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
P1 09:54
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P1 09:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by John Gibson
P1 08:47
Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P1 08:47
Penalty to Moritz Seider 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Connor Dewar)
P1 08:41
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 08:40
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by John Gibson
P1 08:07
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 08:07
Stoppage - Offside
P1 07:45
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P1 07:45
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 07:45
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Andrew Copp)
P1 06:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
P1 06:40
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 06:40
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P1 06:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P1 05:33
Marco Kasper credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 05:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
P1 04:48
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 04:23
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
P1 04:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
P1 03:44
Thomas Novak won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P1 03:44
GOAL
Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Sidney Crosby and Parker Wotherspoon
1-0
P1 03:37
Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P1 03:31
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 03:31
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:06
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 03:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
P1 02:38
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P1 02:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P1 02:07
Giveaway by Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
P1 01:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 00:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 00:50
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P1 00:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:29
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P1 00:29
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:10
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
 STATS
Red Wings
31Shots on Goal12
54%Faceoff Win %46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits21
13Shots Blocked12
16Giveaways19
PenguinsPIT
Red WingsDET
31Shots on Goal12
54%Faceoff Win %46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits21
13Shots Blocked12
16Giveaways19

Game Prediction Article

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Penguins vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +115, Red Wings -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 46%
  • Red Wings: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 46%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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