Islanders vs. Wild prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 29, 2026

The Minnesota Wild are favored to beat the New York Islanders at Grand Casino Arena on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Islanders vs. Wild prediction gives Minnesota a 62.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Islanders as the underdog.

Islanders vs. Wild key predictions

• Wild win probability: 62.6%
• Islanders win probability: 37.3%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 60.5% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 52.8% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Islanders vs. Wild odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Islanders moneyline: 36¢ (Novig)
• Wild moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
• Islanders +1.5: 60¢ (Novig)
• Wild -1.5: 40¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Islanders vs. Wild pick: Islanders moneyline (36¢)

Our model makes the Wild the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Islanders moneyline at 36¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the Islanders an implied win probability of 36.5%, while our model puts it at 37.3%.

That's a 0.9% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Islanders vs. Wild goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Kirill Kaprizov of the Wild leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 50.1%, ahead of teammate Matt Boldy (40.7%). NY's most likely goal-scorer, Bo Horvat, is further back at 34.1%. Kaprizov also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 11.7%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Kirill Kaprizov (Wild): 50.1%
2. Matt Boldy (Wild): 40.7%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 34.1%
4. Joel Ek (Wild): 26.9%
5. Simon Holmstrom (Islanders): 23.9%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Kirill Kaprizov (Wild): 11.7%
2. Matt Boldy (Wild): 8.8%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 7.0%
4. Joel Ek (Wild): 5.2%
5. Simon Holmstrom (Islanders): 4.8%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Islanders vs. Wild prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Islanders vs. Wild predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Islanders vs. Wild game details

• Matchup: NY Islanders vs. Minnesota Wild
• Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Grand Casino Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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