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Penguins vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins will lock horns in the NHL at American Airlines Center on Sunday, starting at 6:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Penguins vs. Stars game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Penguins and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 60% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of going over.
Penguins vs. Stars odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+150) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +140 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins +1.5 at the spread.
Penguins vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Stars?
According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Stars.
Our projections give Robertson a 41.2% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 34.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 30.1% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.2% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 23.5% |
| Thomas Novak | 21.3% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 41.2% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 40.0% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 36.5% |
| Roope Hintz | 31.8% |
| Jamie Benn | 18.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 6.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 5.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.4% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.2% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.1% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 9.0% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 8.2% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.1% |
| Roope Hintz | 6.1% |
| Jamie Benn | 3.2% |
Penguins vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Stars and Penguins at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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