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Penguins vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Stars NHL game on December 7, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
2
3
Dec 7, 11PM American Airlines Center
Stars
Dec 7, 11PM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Stars
0 1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
StarsDAL
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 1 0 0 2
Stars
0 1 1 1 3
OT1 04:54 Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 04:41 Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
OT1 04:31 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
OT1 04:17 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
OT1 04:00 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
OT1 03:16 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 02:28 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
OT1 02:08 Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 01:47 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 01:25 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:05 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
OT1 00:31 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:57 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P3 19:48 Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 19:39 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:15 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:10 Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P3 18:25 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 18:11 Goal scored by Miro Heiskanen assisted by Wyatt Johnston and Mikko Rantanen
P3 17:47 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
SO
End of Shootout period.
SO
Shootout attempt by Kris Letang saved by Jake Oettinger
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Mikko Rantanen on Tristan Jarry
SO
Shootout attempt by Sidney Crosby saved by Jake Oettinger
SO
Shootout attempt by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
SO
Shootout attempt by Matt Duchene saved by Tristan Jarry
SO
Shootout attempt missed by Jason Robertson
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 04:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 04:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
OT1 04:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
OT1 04:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
OT1 04:03
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
OT1 04:01
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
OT1 04:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
OT1 03:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 02:52
Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
OT1 02:47
Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
OT1 02:31
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
OT1 02:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
OT1 02:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
OT1 02:08
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 01:47
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 01:39
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
OT1 01:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
OT1 01:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
OT1 00:56
Takeaway by Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
OT1 00:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
OT1 00:00
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Bryan Rust in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P3 19:52
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 19:52
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 19:48
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 19:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:17
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P3 19:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P3 18:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P3 18:14
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
P3 18:11
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
P3 18:11
GOAL
Goal scored by Miro Heiskanen assisted by Wyatt Johnston and Mikko Rantanen
2-2
P3 17:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:41
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P3 17:21
SHOT
Jamie Benn shot blocked by Mathew Dumba
P3 17:12
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 17:04
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Mathew Dumba
P3 16:57
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 16:57
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 16:24
Takeaway by Kris Letang in defensive zone
P3 16:04
Kris Letang credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 15:58
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 15:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 15:13
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P3 15:13
Stoppage - Offside
P3 15:07
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P3 15:07
Stoppage - Offside
P3 14:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:01
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P3 13:01
Stoppage - Offside
P3 12:26
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P3 12:26
Penalty to Ville Koivunen 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Esa Lindell)
P3 11:59
Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P3 11:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
P3 11:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 11:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:12
Giveaway by Kyle Capobianco in offensive zone
P3 10:58
Takeaway by Justin Brazeau in neutral zone
P3 10:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 10:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 10:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 08:23
SHOT
Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
P3 07:54
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
P3 07:54
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 06:07
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 04:46
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P3 04:46
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater - Player Injury
P3 04:17
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
P3 04:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Graves saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 03:47
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 03:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 03:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 02:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Steel
P3 01:59
Ryan Graves credited with hit on Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
P3 01:49
Mavrik Bourque credited with hit on Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P3 01:35
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P3 01:30
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 01:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:17
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
P3 01:14
SHOT
Matt Duchene shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P3 01:11
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P3 01:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 00:55
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P3 00:55
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Duchene
P2 19:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nils Lundkvist
P2 19:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P2 18:35
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P2 18:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P2 18:00
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P2 18:00
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:53
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
P2 17:53
Stoppage - Icing - Player Injury
P2 17:45
SHOT
Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P2 17:31
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 17:29
Shorthanded - Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P2 17:29
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:13
Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 17:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 17:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 15:47
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 15:47
Penalty to Miro Heiskanen 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 15:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 15:21
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P2 15:21
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 15:19
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Sam Steel
P2 15:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 15:14
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 15:14
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 13:56
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Vladislav Kolyachonok
P2 13:47
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:11
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P2 13:11
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:31
SHOT
Mathew Dumba shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P2 12:29
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P2 12:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:15
Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
P2 12:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 12:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 11:48
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P2 11:44
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P2 11:44
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 11:33
Giveaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
P2 11:30
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mikko Rantanen
P2 11:27
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
P2 11:27
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 10:12
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Oskar Back in defensive zone
P2 09:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P2 09:09
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P2 08:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 08:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 08:26
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P2 08:26
Penalty to Jamie Benn 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P2 07:42
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P2 07:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 07:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 06:52
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Ville Koivunen
P2 06:40
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P2 06:19
Rutger McGroarty credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
P2 06:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Dumba saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 05:56
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P2 05:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 05:50
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P2 05:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 05:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 04:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 04:41
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P2 04:06
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
P2 04:06
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 02:51
Giveaway by Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P2 02:39
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P2 02:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 01:27
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
P2 01:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Jamie Benn
1-1
P2 00:20
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P2 00:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 00:00
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:47
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 18:33
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 18:18
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 18:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor Dewar
1-0
P1 16:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P1 15:38
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P1 15:38
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 14:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P1 13:23
SHOT
Jamie Benn shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P1 12:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P1 12:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P1 11:58
SHOT
Matt Duchene shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P1 11:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 11:15
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P1 11:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 10:57
Takeaway by Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P1 10:40
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P1 10:29
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 10:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 09:54
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 09:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:36
Giveaway by Alexander Petrovic in neutral zone
P1 09:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Petrovic
P1 09:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 08:49
Giveaway by Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P1 08:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
P1 08:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P1 08:15
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P1 08:15
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
P1 08:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Dumba saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 07:59
Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P1 07:29
Takeaway by Mikko Rantanen in neutral zone
P1 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 06:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 06:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
P1 06:30
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P1 06:30
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - TV timeout
P1 06:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 06:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P1 06:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 06:12
Takeaway by Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P1 05:24
SHOT
Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P1 05:02
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
P1 05:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 04:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P1 04:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P1 04:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Dumba saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 04:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 03:13
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P1 03:00
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
P1 02:47
Giveaway by Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P1 02:46
Giveaway by Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 02:23
Justin Hryckowian credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
P1 01:45
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
P1 01:18
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
P1 00:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 00:54
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
P1 00:45
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 00:10
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 00:10
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Stars
29Shots on Goal23
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits17
19Shots Blocked20
13Giveaways23
PenguinsPIT
StarsDAL
29Shots on Goal23
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits17
19Shots Blocked20
13Giveaways23

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Penguins vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Stars
  • Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +152, Stars -180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 39%
  • Stars: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 39%, while the Stars have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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