Islanders vs. Ducks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

The Anaheim Ducks are favored to beat the New York Islanders at Honda Center on Saturday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Islanders vs. Ducks prediction gives Anaheim a 51.6% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 6.5 goals.

Islanders vs. Ducks key predictions

• Ducks win probability: 51.6%
• Islanders win probability: 48.4%
• Ducks +1.5 puck line: 71.6% cover probability
• Over 6.5 goals: 50.2% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Islanders vs. Ducks odds

Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

• Islanders moneyline: 50¢ (Novig)
• Ducks moneyline: +100 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Islanders -1.5: +225 (DraftKings)
• Ducks +1.5: -250 (theScore Bet)
• Over 6.5 goals: 56¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 45¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Islanders vs. Ducks pick: Under 6.5 (45¢)

Our model makes the Ducks the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 45¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 44.5%, while our model puts it at 49.8%.

That's a 5.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

Islanders vs. Ducks goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Cutter Gauthier of the Ducks leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 46.1%, followed by NY's Bo Horvat (33.0%). Gauthier also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.8%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 46.1%
2. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 33.0%
3. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 32.6%
4. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 31.5%
5. Leo Carlsson (Ducks): 31.1%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 9.8%
2. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 6.5%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 5.9%
4. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 5.8%
5. Leo Carlsson (Ducks): 5.6%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available prices to find potential value.

Get every Islanders vs. Ducks prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Islanders vs. Ducks predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Islanders vs. Ducks game details

• Matchup: NY Islanders vs. Anaheim Ducks
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Honda Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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