Devils vs. Capitals prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

The New Jersey Devils are favored to beat the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Devils vs. Capitals prediction gives New Jersey a 51.0% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Capitals as the underdog.

Devils vs. Capitals key predictions

• Devils win probability: 51.0%
• Capitals win probability: 48.9%
• Capitals +1.5 puck line: 69.8% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 53.9% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Devils vs. Capitals odds

These are the best available prices across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Devils moneyline: 56¢ (Novig)
• Capitals moneyline: 45¢ (Novig)
• Devils -1.5: 34¢ (Novig)
• Capitals +1.5: 67¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 49¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 51¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Devils vs. Capitals pick: Capitals ML (45¢)

Our model makes the Devils the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Capitals moneyline at 45¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Capitals an implied win probability of 44.5%, while our model puts it at 48.9%.

That's a 4.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

Devils vs. Capitals goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each game 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Jack Hughes of the Devils leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 35.3%, followed by Washington's Alex Tuch (34.1%). Tuch leads the first goal-scorer projections at 6.8%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Jack Hughes (Devils): 35.3%
2. Alex Tuch (Capitals): 34.1%
3. Nico Hischier (Devils): 27.8%
4. Alex Ovechkin (Capitals): 24.5%
5. Jordan Kyrou (Capitals): 23.5%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Alex Tuch (Capitals): 6.8%
2. Jack Hughes (Devils): 6.7%
3. Nico Hischier (Devils): 5.4%
4. Jordan Kyrou (Capitals): 4.6%
5. Alex Ovechkin (Capitals): 4.3%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to find potential value.

Get every Devils vs. Capitals prediction with Dimers Pro

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• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Devils vs. Capitals game details

• Matchup: New Jersey Devils vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Capital One Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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