Avalanche vs. Canadiens prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

The Montreal Canadiens are favored to beat the Colorado Avalanche at Bell Centre on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Avalanche vs. Canadiens prediction gives Montreal a 52.4% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Avalanche as the underdog.

Avalanche vs. Canadiens key predictions

• Canadiens win probability: 52.4%
• Avalanche win probability: 47.6%
• Avalanche +1.5 puck line: 68.8% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 54.1% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Avalanche vs. Canadiens odds

Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Avalanche moneyline: 45¢ (Novig)
• Canadiens moneyline: 56¢ (Novig)
• Avalanche +1.5: -200 (theScore Bet)
• Canadiens -1.5: 34¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Avalanche vs. Canadiens pick: Avalanche ML (45¢)

Our model makes the Canadiens the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Avalanche moneyline at 45¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Avalanche an implied win probability of 45.0%, while our model rates it at 47.6%.

That's a 2.6% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

Avalanche vs. Canadiens goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Cole Caufield of the Canadiens leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 40.1%, followed by Colorado's Martin Necas (37.5%). Caufield also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 40.1%
2. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 37.5%
3. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 34.4%
4. Nick Suzuki (Canadiens): 28.9%
5. Brock Nelson (Avalanche): 28.1%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 8.4%
2. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 7.5%
3. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 6.5%
4. Nick Suzuki (Canadiens): 5.4%
5. Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens): 4.8%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Avalanche vs. Canadiens prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Avalanche vs. Canadiens predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Avalanche vs. Canadiens game details

• Matchup: Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Bell Centre

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.