Flames vs. Kings prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

The Los Angeles Kings are favored to beat the Calgary Flames at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Flames vs. Kings prediction gives Los Angeles a 58.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Flames as the underdog.

Flames vs. Kings key predictions

• Kings win probability: 58.6%
• Flames win probability: 41.4%
• Flames +1.5 puck line: 64.6% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 50.6% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Flames vs. Kings odds

Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Flames moneyline: 39¢ (Novig)
• Kings moneyline: 61¢ (Novig)
• Flames +1.5: 63¢ (Novig)
• Kings -1.5: 37¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Flames vs. Kings pick: Flames ML (39¢)

Our model makes the Kings the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Flames moneyline at 39¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Flames an implied win probability of 39.5%, while our model rates it at 41.4%.

That's a 2.1% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Flames vs. Kings goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each game 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Adrian Kempe of the Kings leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 34.5%, ahead of teammate Quinton Byfield (30.0%). Calgary's most likely goal-scorer, William Stromgren, is further back at 26.5%. Kempe also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.0%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 34.5%
2. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 30.0%
3. Kevin Fiala (Kings): 29.9%
4. William Stromgren (Flames): 26.5%
5. Joel Farabee (Flames): 25.2%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 7.0%
2. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 6.3%
3. Kevin Fiala (Kings): 6.0%
4. William Stromgren (Flames): 4.9%
5. Joel Farabee (Flames): 4.9%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available prices to assess potential value.

Get every Flames vs. Kings prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Flames vs. Kings predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Flames vs. Kings game details

• Matchup: Calgary Flames vs. Los Angeles Kings
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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