Pirates vs. Astros Prediction: Astros Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [7/31/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Pirates vs. Astros Prediction: Astros Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [7/31/2024]

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 8:10PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the favored Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park.

Framber Valdez (9-5, 3.43 ERA) will start on the mound for the Astros, while the Pirates will counter with Jake Woodford (0-2, 10.80 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Pirates-Astros game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Astros' chance of winning at 69%, with the Pirates at 31%."

Pirates vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Pirates at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 8:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Pirates vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Pirates picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Pirates vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Pirates and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 69% chance of beating the Pirates.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Pirates and Astros each have a 50% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:31AM, Aug 1
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Pirates
Win %
31%
69%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Pirates PIT
Win %
31%
69%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Jake Woodford 0-2, 10.80 ERA
Framber Valdez 9-5, 3.43 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Pirates vs. Astros Odds [7/31/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Pirates Astros
Run Line +1.5 (+100) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +195 -225
Total o8.5 (+102) u8.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Astros Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Pirates vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 124 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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