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Read Article Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction: Minnesota Predicted to Win Wednesday's WNBA Matchup [7/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx matchup.
The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Target Center on Wednesday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mercury-Lynx game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Lynx' chance of winning at 72%, with the Mercury at 28%."
The Lynx, who have star players like Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride, will face off against the Mercury, featuring Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner and Sami Whitcomb.
For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Lynx predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Lynx 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 72% chance of defeating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Mercury (+10) have a 65% chance of covering the spread, while the 158-point over/under has a 61% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:04PM, Jul 16
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mercury vs. Lynx Odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10 (-106) | -10 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +410 | -470 |
| Total | o158 (-110) | u158 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mercury vs. Lynx Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Lynx matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Mercury-Lynx Pick Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Lynx Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Wednesday's Mercury vs. Lynx matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Alyssa Thomas is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Napheesa Collier is projected to be the top scorer for the Lynx.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Lynx Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's matchup between the Lynx and Mercury at Target Center is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Mercury vs. Lynx matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mercury vs. Lynx picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Lynx insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on WNBA
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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