Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Friday's MLB Matchup [5/9/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies-Cleveland Guardians Predictions and Game Preview.
Progressive Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians this Friday.

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Philadelphia Phillies, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Progressive Field on Friday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

The Guardians will have Gavin Williams (2-2, 5.06 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola (1-5, 4.61 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects an equal chance for both the Guardians and Phillies to win today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Philadelphia-Cleveland game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Guardians and Phillies, making it a highly competitive matchup."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Guardians predictions page.

Guardians vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Phillies and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Phillies and Guardians a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Phillies vs. Guardians Odds [5/9/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Phillies Guardians
Run Line -1.5 (+152) +1.5 (-175)
Moneyline -115 +100
Total o7.5 (-105) u7.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Phillies vs. Guardians Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Phillies vs. Guardians matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Phillies vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB game between the Guardians and Phillies at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Phillies vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Philadelphia vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Phillies and Guardians on Friday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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