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Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [1/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Philadelphia Flyers in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Flyers and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 57% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+164) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flyers +1.5 | -185 |
| Moneyline | Flyers | +130 |
| Total | Over 6 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers +1.5 at the spread.
Flyers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Bryan Rust is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Rust a 37.4% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras | 29.7% |
| Owen Tippett | 28.6% |
| Travis Konecny | 28.1% |
| Matvei Michkov | 26.4% |
| Carl Grundstrom | 22.9% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 37.4% |
| Sidney Crosby | 36.7% |
| Rickard Rakell | 31.9% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 26.1% |
| Thomas Novak | 22.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras | 5.5% |
| Owen Tippett | 5.1% |
| Travis Konecny | 5.1% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.0% |
| Carl Grundstrom | 4.4% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 7.7% |
| Rickard Rakell | 7.1% |
| Sidney Crosby | 6.2% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.8% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.0% |
Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Penguins and Flyers at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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